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Verasun, Other Ethanol Producers May Face Overwhelming Odds

By Chris Morrison | Jan 13, 2009

The body blows just keep coming at the nation’s ethanol producers, among them big names like Verasun, Pacific Ethanol and Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings.

Like everyone else, ethanol makers have been hit by the recession’s broad problems, including tight credit. But a side-effect of the falling economy, falling gas prices, has had a much worse effect on the alternative fuel business. Ethanol prices follow the price of gas, so producer’s tightening margins have forced many to idle existing plants and delay construction on new ones. Ethanol Producer just published a list of the facilities and companies involved, including some unnamed above, like Husker Ag and Suncor Energy.

But while pump prices are continuing to decline, a new challenge has unexpectedly appeared: Rising corn prices. The Wall Street Journal says experts are unsure of the reason why, but the feedstock, used to make ethanol, has gone up over a dollar since December, a rise of more than a third.

Corn may fall back to its old levels, but if it doesn’t, or does so slowly, the ethanol industry will face desperate times. One of the industry’s last remaining hopes is that President-elect Barack Obama, scheduled to take office Jan. 21, will direct a large portion of a $25 billion renewable energy stimulus to prop up ethanol. Obama is likely to support ethanol, the reasoning goes, because he’s from Illinois, a corn-producing state.

However, those hopes may be unfounded. Other renewable sectors like wind and solar are also suffering, while efficiency projects and transmission capacity upgrades are likely to take a large piece of the pie. The auto industry is also clamoring for help, and might receive some funds from the energy package. And ethanol is not nearly as popular as it was a few years ago.

So prospects going into the first half of 2009 look bleak for these companies. Being in bankrupt Verasun’s position is unenviable; with no idea of when ethanol will be a profitable product again, lenders are unlikely to help the company any more than they have to. Stronger companies like Aventine still face a tough road.

In the long run, though, the crunch is likely to be a positive for the industry. Plants that were built with credit during the ethanol rush will go to buyers capable of operating them with lower margins. Today’s energy companies likely include the shrewd bettors that will profit from the collapse of their rivals. For now, all they may need to do is survive.

Chris Morrison, a reporter on energy, renewables and climate change, is the former lead cleantech writer for VentureBeat. Follow him on Twitter.

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Web Buzz:
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  •  
    1

    tramky

    01/13/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Verasun, Other Ethanol Producers May Face Overwhelming Odds

    Corn-based ethanol was a BAD idea from the outset. To fill our gas tanks with products derived from a traditional FOOD was galactically stupid! And anyone who invests in a galactically stupid idea gets what they deserve. No sympathy here. And no 'propping up' of the industry with stimulus money from taxpayers who are being driven into insolvency by American corporations and our own government. Propping up does not equate to sustainable business, it equates to fat executives trying to maintain their fat paychecks & benefits plans, at taxpayer expense.

    No dice, folks!

  •  
    2

    BrianJDonovan

    01/14/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Verasun, Other Ethanol Producers May Face Overwhelming Odds

    Louisiana Enacts the Most Comprehensive Advanced Biofuel Legislation in the Nation


    Governor Bobby Jindal has signed into law the Advanced Biofuel Industry Development Initiative, the most comprehensive and far-reaching state legislation in the nation enacted to develop a statewide advanced biofuel industry. Louisiana is the first state to enact alternative transportation fuel legislation that includes a variable blending pump pilot program and a hydrous ethanol pilot program.

    Field-to-Pump Strategy
    The legislature found that the proper development of an advanced biofuel industry in Louisiana requires implementation of the following comprehensive ???field-to-pump??? strategy developed by Renergie, Inc.:

    (1) Feedstock Other Than Corn
    (a) derived solely from Louisiana harvested crops;
    (b) capable of an annual yield of at least 600 gallons of ethanol per acre;
    (c) requiring no more than one-half of the water required to grow corn;
    (d) tolerant to high temperature and waterlogging;
    (e) resistant to drought and saline-alkaline soils;
    (f) capable of being grown in marginal soils, ranging from heavy clay to light sand;
    (g) requiring no more than one-third of the nitrogen required to grow corn, thereby reducing the risk of contamination of the waters of the state; and
    (h) requiring no more than one-half of the energy necessary to convert corn into ethanol.

    (2) Decentralized Network of Small Advanced Biofuel Manufacturing Facilities
    Smaller is better. The distributed nature of a small advanced biofuel manufacturing facility network reduces feedstock supply risk, does not burden local water supplies and provides for broader based economic development. Each advanced biofuel manufacturing facility operating in Louisiana will produce no less than 5 million gallons of advanced biofuel per year and no more than 15 million gallons of advanced biofuel per year.

    (3) Market Expansion
    Advanced biofuel supply and demand shall be expanded beyond the 10% blend market by blending fuel-grade anhydrous ethanol with gasoline at the gas station pump. Variable blending pumps, directly installed and operated at local gas stations by a qualified small advanced biofuel manufacturing facility, shall offer the consumer a less expensive substitute for unleaded gasoline in the form of E10, E20, E30 and E85.

    Pilot Programs
    (1) Advanced Biofuel Variable Blending Pumps - The blending of fuels with advanced biofuel percentages between 10 percent and 85 percent will be permitted on a trial basis until January 1, 2012. During this period the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry Division of Weights & Measures will monitor the equipment used to dispense the ethanol blends to ascertain that the equipment is suitable and capable of producing an accurate measurement.

    (2) Hydrous Ethanol - The use of hydrous ethanol blends of E10, E20, E30 and E85 in motor vehicles specifically selected for test purposes will be permitted on a trial basis until January 1, 2012. During this period the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry Division of Weights & Measures will monitor the performance of the motor vehicles. The hydrous blends will be tested for blend optimization with respect to fuel consumption and engine emissions. Preliminary tests conducted in Europe have proven that the use of hydrous ethanol, which eliminates the need for the hydrous-to-anhydrous dehydration processing step, results in an energy savings of between ten percent and forty-five percent during processing, a four percent product volume increase, higher mileage per gallon, a cleaner engine interior, and a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.

    Act No. 382, entitled ???The Advanced Biofuel Industry Development Initiative,??? was co-authored by 27 members of the Legislature. The original bill was drafted by Renergie, Inc. Representative Jonathan W. Perry (R - District 47), with the support of Senator Nick Gautreaux (D - District 26), was the primary author of the bill. Reflecting on the signing of Act No. 382 into law, Brian J. Donovan, CEO of Renergie, Inc. said, ???I am pleased that the legislature and governor of the great State of Louisiana have chosen to lead the nation in moving ethanol beyond being just a blending component in gasoline to a fuel that is more economical, cleaner, renewable, and more efficient than unleaded gasoline. The two pilot programs, providing for an advanced biofuel variable blending pump trial and a hydrous ethanol trial, established by the State of Louisiana should be adopted by each and every state in our country.???

    State Agencies Must Purchase or Lease Vehicles That Use Alternative Fuels
    Louisiana???s Advanced Biofuel Industry Development Initiative further states, ???The commissioner of administration shall not purchase or lease any motor vehicle for use by any state agency unless that vehicle is capable of and equipped for using an alternative fuel that results in lower emissions of oxides of nitrogen, volatile organic compounds, carbon monoxide, or particulates or any combination thereof that meet or exceed federal Clean Air Act standards.???

    Advanced Biofuel Price Preference for State Agencies
    Louisiana???s Advanced Biofuel Industry Development Initiative provides that a governmental body, state educational institution, or instrumentality of the state that performs essential governmental functions on a statewide or local basis is entitled to purchase E20, E30 or E85 advanced biofuel at a price equal to fifteen percent (15%) less per gallon than the price of unleaded gasoline for use in any motor vehicle.

    Economic Benefits
    The development of an advanced biofuel industry will help rebuild the local and regional economies devastated as a result of hurricanes Katrina and Rita by providing:
    (1) increased value to the feedstock crops which will benefit local farmers and provide more revenue to the local community;
    (2) increased investments in plants and equipment which will stimulate the local economy by providing construction jobs initially and the chance for full-time employment after the plant is completed;
    (3) secondary employment as associated industries develop due to plant co-products becoming available at a competitive price; and
    (4) increased local and state revenues collected from plant operations will stimulate local and state tax revenues and provide funds for improvements to the community and to the region.

    ???Representative Perry and Senator Gautreaux have worked tirelessly to craft comprehensive advanced biofuel legislation which will maximize rural development, benefit consumers, farmers and gas station owners while also protecting the environment and reducing the burden on local water supplies,??? said Donovan. ???Representative Perry, Senator Gautreaux, and Dr. Strain, Commissioner of the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry, should be praised for their leadership on this issue.???

    About Renergie
    Renergie was formed by Ms. Meaghan M. Donovan on March 22, 2006 for the purpose of raising capital to develop, construct, own and operate a network of ten ethanol plants in the parishes of the State of Louisiana which were devastated by hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Each ethanol plant will have a production capacity of five million gallons per year (5 MGY) of fuel-grade ethanol. Renergie???s ???field-to-pump??? strategy is to produce non-corn ethanol locally and directly market non-corn ethanol locally. On February 26, 2008, Renergie was one of 8 recipients, selected from 139 grant applicants, to share $12.5 million from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection???s Renewable Energy Technologies Grants Program. Renergie received $1,500,483 (partial funding) in grant money to design and build Florida???s first ethanol plant capable of producing fuel-grade ethanol solely from sweet sorghum juice. On April 2, 2008, Enterprise Florida, Inc., the state???s economic development organization, selected Renergie as one of Florida???s most innovative technology companies in the alternative energy sector. By blending fuel-grade ethanol with gasoline at the gas station pump, Renergie will offer the consumer a fuel that is more economical, cleaner, renewable, and more efficient than unleaded gasoline. Moreover, the Renergie project will mark the first time that Louisiana farmers will share in the profits realized from the sale of value-added products made from their crops.

    Please feel free to visit Renergie???s weblog (www.renergie.wordpress.com) for more information.

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