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Predicted: A ‘Massive Shift to Chicken’

July 1st, 2008 @ 4:10 pm

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Tags: Shift, Gleeson, Mergers & Acquisitions, Processors, Investment, Finance, Semiconductors, Hardware, Components, Dan Mitchell

Last month, Robert Feldman, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist and co-director of research, predicted a coming “massive shift to chicken” as beef and pork prices continue to soar.

foghorn-leghorn-thumb.jpgChicken prices are soaring too, of course, but not by as much. And the inputs that go into the production of all three meats — feed and energy – are less expensive for chicken than for the other two.

What does this mean for American chicken processors? Eoin Gleeson of Moneyweek notes that, even as American companies like Tyson and Pilgrim’s Pride have been taking a pounding, the Mexican firm Industrias Bachoco has been flourishing, thanks to rising consumption in Mexico, its high-quality distribution network and the fact that it caters to Mexican tastes by, for example, selling chickens whole rather than in parts as most of American processors do.

Hence, Industrias Bachoco is swimming in cash, with $300 million set aside for acquisitions. Will it pick up one of the big American firms? Gleeson thinks it might. It is “in a superb position to tap the ten-million-plus Mexican expatriates living in America,” he writes.

Dan Mitchell has spent the past 20 years writing and editing for outlets such as the Chicago Tribune, the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, National Public Radio, Business 2.0, and Wired.

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Dan Mitchell

Dan Mitchell has spent the past 20 years writing and editing for newspapers, magazines, and Web publications. Currently, he writes the What's Online column for the Saturday business section of the New York Times. He has also written for the Chicago Tribune, the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, National Public Radio, Business 2.0, and Wired. more »

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BNET Food provides daily industry news coverage and insights for managers and executives, focusing on the major companies in the food and beverage sector, from manufacturers to retailers. In addition to detailed company profiles, we bring you critical analysis on new alliances and partnerships, new products, mergers and acquisitions, labor and cost management, investments and deal flow, and a host of other important business issues.

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