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ESPN's "Monday Night Football" Clobbers "The Jay Leno Show" -- And Shows Just How Beat Up Network TV Is

By Catharine P. Taylor | Nov 11, 2009

Let’s combine two viewership statistics from Monday night and see what we get: ESPN’s “Monday Night Football,” featuring the Super Bowl champ Pittsburgh Steelers playing the Denver Broncos, had a 6.5 rating/17 share, and a total of 16 million viewers, making it the highest rated show on TV, broadcast or cable. NBC’s “The Jay Leno Show“, meanwhile, finished with a 1.2 rating in the 18-49 demographic; it had a total of just over 4 million viewers. The basic math is simple — the football game had four times as many viewers — but how you interpret this data isn’t necessarily clear-cut.

What people are probably expecting me to say now is that “The Jay Leno Show” is a huge disaster, in performing so poorly against a mere cable football game. But in fact, this shows why NBC was basically right about its decision to rethink the 10 p.m. timeslot, even if the show it put there is looking a bit dodgy. While you could focus on the fact that, at a 1.2, the show is actually below the 1.5 rating in 18-49 that NBC has said was the benchmark for whether or not the show would be profitable, if it weren’t for “Leno”, the network probably would have had some struggling drama in the Monday night timeslot, have spent more money, and, therefore, been out more money at 10 p.m. Staying with the status quo wasn’t exactly a winning proposition either.

The problem, of course, is that “Leno” wasn’t supposed to be measured on how much less money it would lose compared to what had gone before; it was supposed to be measured by the profit margin the show was going to attain because it was cheaper to produce. On that score, NBC, if not wrong yet, doesn’t look very right, either.

While we’re discussing broadcast vs. cable, you could also make the case that since only advertisers, and not viewers, seem to still be making the distinction between cable and broadcast, ABC never should have let football move to its sibling network ESPN. It speaks to the perversity of the TV business model that advertisers pay much more for broadcast TV than they do for cable. While that’s not a discussion for this post, it’s one that the people with the money in the media industry should start having soon.

Previous coverage of “The Jay Leno Show” at BNET Media:

Catharine P. Taylor has been covering digital media and advertising for almost 15 years and is a frequent speaker at conferences about media and advertising. She posts daily to BNET Media, writes the weekly Social Media Insider column for Mediapost and also has her own advertising blog, Adverganza.com. Follow her on Twitter or subscribe to the BNET Media Twitter feed.

BNET User Analysis

Web Buzz:
  • It's a Shame About Jay

    Ad Age - 19 days 10 hours 39 minutes ago

    NEW YORK (AdAge.com) -- NBC solved a short-term crisis today when it confirmed that Conan O'Brien will leave the network and Jay Leno will retake "The Tonight Show," but Mr. Leno's failure in prime time complicates the long-term challenge for all broadcast TV. That's because launching "The Jay Leno Show" at 10 p.m. each weeknight...

  • NBC to Move Leno Back to Late-Night as Ratings Drop (Update3)

    BusinessWeek - 30 days 2 hours 37 minutes ago

    NBC will stop broadcasting Jay Leno’s 10 p.m. talk show next month, ending an experiment that sank the TV network’s prime-time ratings and damaged the lead-in audience for local newscasts and late-night shows

  • Is Leno the Only One Who Could Save Conan?

    The Atlantic - 25 days 12 hours 31 minutes ago

    With all the cards in place for Conan O'Brien's exit from NBC and the Tonight Show, there's likely only one person who can stop this late night soap opera from playing out: Jay Leno. On its face it seems improbable. Why would Leno back away now after deftly maneuvering his way back to the top? One theory is that pressure from comedians (and...

  • Letterman Takes Turn Toward the Political

    New York Times - 142 days 4 hours 14 minutes ago

    David Letterman, the star of the “Late Show,” evens the score with his rival, Jay Leno, by booking President Obama on Monday night

  • The CW: Where Sundays No Longer Exist

    BNET Media - 279 days 13 hours 50 minutes ago

    Even though Jay Leno’s primetime show has been getting all the headlines, another sign of the network TV apocalypse has just come from thent();return false" class="last">Print Tags: Network, Networking, Catharine P. Taylor

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