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SAP Kept Afloat by Customers Need for Support

By Erik Sherman | Oct 28, 2009

I often think that the preoccupation with corporate earnings can even outshine their revenue issues. However, you can never do better than the amount of money you can bring in, and for SAP, the signs are not promising, particularly as its weakest area, software sales, is the one that makes all the others possible.

Although earnings increased by 12 percent, sales dropped by 9 percent. But for the full story, some perspective helps. I went through SAP financial statements and pulled together the largest three revenue categories over eight quarters. Here’s the result:

Those figures tell an interesting story. Given that SAP is supposedly a software company, it is bad news to see that the whipsawing sales of software are on a pretty clear down trend. The industry demands constant growth, but we’re talking about a company that has seen a dropping trend in software sales (look at the black line called Poly. (Software), which is the trend line). The big danger is that software has to drive everything in the company, including consulting and support. No software sales means customers don’t need anything else, either.

Now look at the other revenue lines. Even consulting is clearly trending down slightly. The only major revenue line where SAP sees growth is in support. In other words, SAP has prospects only because its customers need significant amounts of support after they buy the software. Considering that better designed software should require less support than lesser applications, it’s the equivalent of saying that SAP has an incentive to turn out questionable software so that it can continue to attract the bigger support fees that keep it afloat.

Image via stock.xchng user bensonpuppy, site standard license.

Erik Sherman is a freelance journalist whose work has appeared in Newsweek, the New York Times Magazine, Technology Review, the Financial Times, Chief Executive, and other publications. Follow him on Twitter.

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  •  
    1

    RobertClarkRhodes2

    10/29/09 | Report as spam

    SAP has been in need...

    ...of a simplification for sometime. The truth of the product is that
    it is just too complicated, and monolithic to be useful in the long
    run. Having interfaced with it a lot during the late 90's, it was
    impossible to work with. Moreover, it tried to be all things to all
    people / companies. Whenever you do that, it is just too hard.

    I think their clients should refuse to make their (the client)
    business process into the SAP process. Revolt now!!!!

  •  
    2

    dmsilva1

    10/29/09 | Report as spam

    what a horrendous oversimplification!

    Sorry, but this just doesn't hold water.
    SAP is likely selling service contracts. The more sales the more contracts hence the upward trend- the only way this would not go up is if customers are ending their service contracts (e.g. if they are not happy with the product).
    Now their sales are clearly cyclical. This accounts for some of the downward trend, but it should be far from surprising to see lower sales in Q4 of '08 than in Q4 of '07, and lower volumes throughout '09 (if you need to ask why then I'm not going to waste time explaining it to you).
    I don't work with SAP, I have not used their product. And I also agree with Robert that it is a mistake for any company to try to be all things to everyone; however, I also don't think a company's motives should be questioned because of the current downturn in the economy.

  •  
    3

    ErikSherman

    10/29/09 | Report as spam

    RE: SAP Kept Afloat by Customers Need for Support

    The software sales are cyclical, but if you do a mathematical analysis, they're heading down, not up. Any time your only growing source of revenue is essentually guaranteed up time or protection, there's something wrong, particularly when IT budgets are starting to come back. It's not just the economy.

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