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Capstone Turbine Still Charged About Future

By David Phillips | Nov 15, 2008

The Upshot: Demand remains limited for its microturbine energy systems, with two customers, Banking Production Centre (”BPC Energy Systems”) and UTC Power (United Technologies affiliate) accounting for 17 percent and 13 percent of total revenue for the six months of fiscal 2009 ended September 30.

Backlog at the end of the second-quarter was 543 units, or 58.9-megawatts, valued at $50.4 million, of which 485 units, or 53.3 megawatts, valued at $46 million were current and expected to be shipped within the next twelve months. Curiously, only 10.4-megawatts, worth $9.9 million in sales, were shipped in the second-quarter of fiscal 2009, which suggests that the alleged contracts may lack “take or pay agreements.”

In my September column, I cautioned readers that if Capstone failed to complete the specified development and commercialization of its C200 microturbine product, the non-exclusive, perpetual, and worldwide license to the C200 would revert to UTC Power. On a positive note-during the three months ended September 30-the company achieved the microturbine build completion milestone. Capstone needs only to complete the last phase of commercialization to fulfill the terms of the original September 2007 Development and License Agreement.

To date, Capstone Turbine remains long on promise and short on results, as it continues to fund its activities primarily through private and public equity offerings. At September 30, the company had cash on-hand of $46 million, primarily from the net proceeds of a 21.5 million shares stock offering back in September.

The company’s cash burn rate was $17 million in the last quarter, primarily attributable to continued operating losses and investments in inventory buildup and production equipment (related to the C200 and C1000 Series products).

The Question: Management says the increase in backlog is proof of product acceptance. Might inventory being shipped out the door and the balance sheet turning cash flow positive be better barometers of success?

After more than 25 years as an equity analyst and forensic accounting expert, David Phillips now combs through SEC filings for juicy tidbits. He also blogs regularly at the 10Q Detective.

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  •  
    1

    10Q_Detective

    11/15/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Capstone Turbine Still Charged About Future

    Dave,

    "I am concerned your calculation on cashburn is 4X what it really is should
    represent. This clearly misinforms the uninformed. Perhaps you meant per
    quarter and not per month. Nice piece otherwise"

    Chris

  •  
    2

    10Q_Detective

    11/15/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Capstone Turbine Still Charged About Future

    hris:

    Management said on earnings call that cash burn was $17 million for the quarter. Yet, according to 10-Q filing, use of operating cash was $29.6 million...plus capex of $2.7 million = $32.3 million, or about $11 million/ month. Not sure where company came up with $17 M number?

  •  
    3

    10Q_Detective

    11/15/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Capstone Turbine Still Charged About Future

    Chris:

    Management said on earnings call that cash burn was $17 million for the quarter. Yet, according to 10-Q filing, use of operating cash was $29.6 million...plus capex of $2.7 million = $32.3 million, or about $11 million/ month. Not sure where company came up with $17 M number?

  •  
    4

    10Q_Detective

    11/18/08 | Report as spam

    Free Cash Flow Correction

    After reviewing my intial FCF numbers, I did realize a calculating error. The reported number in the 10-Q was for six-months, not the last quarter. The actual number was correctly reported by management on call as $17 million. The article will reflect the actual number. Thank you all for noticing!

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