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Roche-Genentech Deal: $95 Bid Coming by February

By Jim Edwards | Jan 12, 2009

UPDATE: Roche CFO Erich Hunziker confirmed that the Genentech bid was “on track” and said this about jobs at Genentech: “the cuts we intend to do at Roche are much tougher” than any planned for Genentech, he said, according to Bloomberg. Roche won’t “kill the hens that laid the golden eggs,” Hunziker said.

Genentech stock rose from around $84 to around $86 on news that Roche is indeed going ahead with its bid to acquire the company. The FT reports Roche is look at $95 a share for the 44 percent of the company that it does not yet own. The timing of the bid will before early February, the paper said.

2618227297_968dd612581.jpgThe company had previously offered $89 a share last summer, but Genentech turned that down, seeking a higher bid. This guy thinks the price is going even higher:

“There’s no way to know how credible this report is,” said BMO Capital Markets analyst Jason Zhang, in a telephone interview. “Roche is serious about this, they want to finish the deal, but $95 isn’t high enough to get the deal done. You have to get above $100 a share.”

Roche also said it would continue its dividend payouts. Some thought it may scrap its payouts in order to collect enough cash to buy Genentech.

As BNET readers know, whether Roche can actually raise enough cash to buy Genentech is an open question. The company initially bid $89 in summer, but then went silent as summer turned to fall and then winter.

Then it emerged that there simply wasn’t enough credit available on the markets for Roche to finance the $45 billion deal.

In December, with Roche struggling to out together financing an the markets tumbling, there was speculation that Genentech may be forced to take a lower bid than $89 in order for holders to collect a premium on the deal.

Looming behind the deal is the open question of whether the clash of cultures between Roche and Genentech could end up destroying the value Roche seeks to acquire.

Image by Flickr user RangerRick, CC

Jim Edwards, a former managing editor of Adweek, has covered drug marketing at Brandweek for four years, and is a former Knight-Bagehot fellow at Columbia University's business and journalism schools. Follow him on Twitter or send him an email.

BNET User Analysis

Web Buzz:
  • Roche May Sweeten $42 Billion Genentech Bid, Analysts Say

    New York Times - 270 days 5 hours 37 minutes ago

    Roche will likely raise its bid for the 44 percent of Genentech it does not own, analysts said on Tuesday, after the U.S. biotech group urged shareholders to reject the offer, Reuters said. A special committee of Genentech's board recommended shareholders reject Roche's $42 billion bid, saying that at $86.50 per share it substantially...

  • Genentech urges shareholders to reject Roche offer

    Reuters - 271 days 19 hours 48 minutes ago

    By Bill Berkrot NEW YORK (Reuters) - A special committee of Genentech Inc's (DNA.N) board on Monday urged shareholders to reject Roche's $42 billion bid to acquire the portion of the company it does not already own for $86.50 a share, saying it substantially undervalues the U.S. biotechnology giant. The committee said it unanimously recommended...

  • Roche goes hostile, cuts Genentech bid to $42 billion

    Reuters - 296 days 10 hours 6 minutes ago

    By Sam Cage ZURICH (Reuters) - Roche cut the price of its bid for outstanding shares in Genentech, going hostile and dashing investor hopes of a sweetened offer for the 44 percent of the U.S. biotech group its does not already own. Roche Holding AG's new and lower offer, pitched directly to shareholders, was a surprise and reflected tougher...

  • Genentech's side of the dealmaking story

    Fierce Pharma - 262 days 57 minutes ago

    Wonder what Genentech's thinking about Roche these days? Tune into Monday's investor webcast to find out. The company is expected to explain why it's urging stockholders to reject Roche's $86.50-per-share bid for the 44 percent of Genentech it doesn't already own. In announcing the webcast, Genentech advised stockholders to "read carefully"...

  • Genentech's Bullish Forecasts Are Not In Line with Wall Street

    Seeking Alpha - 262 days 1 hour 42 minutes ago

    EP Vantage submits: With just ten days to go until expiry of Roche's (RHHBY.PK) $86.50 per share offer for the remaining 44% of Genentech DNA it does not already own, Genentech's senior management yesterday presented in great detail, with sales and earnings projection as far as 2024, its side of

 

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