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Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

By Erik Sherman | Feb 3, 2009

A typical knee-jerk reaction of companies to bad financial conditions is to lay off workers. From one view, you can understand the managerial logic. When revenues drop enough, you lower expenses or lose money. But it turns out that companies are opening a veritable Pandora’s box of issues and problems when they show enough people the door, and the total cost might well exceed the savings.
One of the most documented issues is that mass layoffs often leave companies worse off financially than they were. For example, between the summers of 2000 and 2001, Bain & Company studied layoffs at S&P 500 companies. A bulk came from the tech sector, with telecom, computers, semiconductor equipment, office electronics, and electronics accounting for at least 44 percent of the layoffs. The findings ran counter to what many executives believe:
  • Just over 25 percent of the companies announced layoffs — certainly a significant portion, but far from a universal reaction.
  • The best performing stocks were for companies that did the fewest layoffs. Companies that laid off between 3 and 10 percent of employees had, on average, flat share prices. Those that laid off more than 10 percent saw shares drop by 38 percent.
  • Adjusted for sales growth rates, companies that don’t downsize outperformed those that did.
  • Unless positions can be eliminated for long enough — at least six to 12 months, and possibly as long as 18 months for knowledge-based businesses — there is no financial payback to the company because it typically has to hire replacement workers as conditions are getting better.

The overall lesson that Bain drew was as follows:

The lesson from all this is that job losses can produce greater costs than benefits. A company will face severance costs, outplacement costs, damaged trust and credibility, and loss of knowledge from skilled workers who leave. Big job cuts can also affect the employees who stay. Declining morale means lower productivity — many will spend time looking for new jobs. Employees will tend to be less innovative, and less willing to take bold steps to solve problems.

There was, apparently, a difference when taking the reason for the layoffs into account. Simply cutting costs was an overall losing approach. But companies that laid workers off as part of consolidation after a merger saw an improvement in stock price.

That’s just one indication of the potential dangerous effects of layoffs. A 2003 study from the Institute of Behavioral Science found that employees who even indirectly experience layoffs — seeing co-workers being laid off – “reported poorer mental and physical health as compared to those without layoff contact.” Even worse in terms of health outcomes and job attitudes were those who directly experienced layoffs, not just losing a job, but being shifted to “different positions and areas in the organization.” As anyone who has been in management knows poorer attitudes and health mean more sick days, poorer work quality, and greater inefficiency, all of which directly cost money and add indirect expense through impaired retention and recruitment.

In the last couple of weeks, we’ve seen other ways that layoffs can come back to bite a company. One is the direct negative publicity that can accompany the action. After Microsoft announced its layoffs, Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa wrote to say that keeping U.S. citizens in jobs over foreign workers on H-1B visas. Probably not the type of public scrutiny a company might want, particularly from a ranking minority member of the Finance and Judicial Committees. Can you say taxes, international trade, intellectual property, and antitrust interests?

And then there is another type of undesirable audience: former employees who hold a grudge and who have the technical knowledge to cause trouble. Look at what allegedly happened at Fannie Mae. Are high tech companies, which are laying off at a brisk, if not record, rates, really that much more attentive to security issues than a company in a regulated industry?

When sales are plummeting and the economy looks bad for at least the next two years, executives have to do something to keep their companies going. But even now may be a case where the most apparent answer is no help at all.

Erik Sherman is a freelance journalist whose work has appeared in Newsweek, the New York Times Magazine, Technology Review, the Financial Times, Chief Executive, and other publications. Follow him on Twitter.

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  •  
    1

    basavaraj.dt1

    02/03/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies - Correct. 100% correct.

  •  
    2

    matmik99

    02/04/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    While there is no silver-bullet to get through the recession, there are companies investing in new technology and people. Layoffs appear a quick fix but these same companies eventually become known for poor service, low employee morale, and costly rehiring/training. It will take them years to reconcile these issues with employees and their brand image.

  •  
    3

    tramky

    02/04/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    This is a very weak analysis, particularly in the current economic collapse of the United States. I think the massive layoffs we are seeing now are due to the perception by American corporations that THIS depression is going to be a long one, and that they don't expect to be hiring again--after the layoffs--for a few years at least.

    This economic collapse is different from all other ones in our lifetime. We now have the President of the United States publicly dictating executive compensation at financial companies. And it must be realized that if they can control the compensation--and quite possibly the work conditions--of corporate executives, they can control those things for ANY employee; executives are employees, too.

    I believe that this government, this administration, believes that it possesses the power to control most aspects of American corporate business function. We are going to see pronouncements from Obama and this government the likes of which we have never heard before.

    I don't hear anyone, including Obama, talking about getting the stock market to recover from the devastating losses it has suffered over the last 6 months. That collapse will succeed in converting the baby-boomer generation about to retire into virtual beggars looking for government assistance, just what this administration wants.

    The citizens of the United States apparently voted for Change. Well, they're going to get it, and it won't be pretty. Whatever you thought the Constitution of the United States provides you in life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, you are about to discover that this government, the Obama government, has a different view. And their rationale is, as Nancy Pelosi has stated more than once:
    "We won!"

  •  
    4

    cfgCady

    02/04/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    A spot-on analysis Erik. If there's one upside to this whole depression, it marks the end of the H-1B visa program. Any talk of expansion or even continuation is an absolute non-starter. No traction at all. As posters here and many other sites allude to, there has been a fundemental shift in the US economy. Remember that employment is a lagging economic indicator. We have supposedly been in this recession since December 07/January 08. Unlikely as it is, if we see improvement with economic indicators in late 2009, we may still expect to see 2002 rates of IT unemployment/underemployment through the 2nd quarter 2011.

  •  
    5

    willika888

    02/04/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    I have been in the situation where the company I worked for conducted a series of layoffs. By the time it was over, the cuts were too deep. Many people were terminated that filled key positions. This left the remaining employees with double/triple the workload and not necessarily the skills to do the job. The average work week was 10 hour days plus Saturday and sometimes Sunday afternoons.

    Morale was low. People were tired and grumpy. Projects that did get finished took twice as long to get out the door. Quality was marginally acceptable with several hotfixes and patches. Turnover was low only because there were no jobs available. Once the market changed, people left. The company did survive and was eventually bought. Initially, quite a few people survived the merger. That is, until they were replaced by staff from the company who purchased them.

  •  
    6

    bthechangeyouseek

    02/07/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    I have to disagree with comments by tramky. The recession started long before Obama. We are likely to continue to see more layoffs because of the business practices that were employed during the last 8 years, less regulation etc. When a company chooses to use tax payer dollars over closing their business, then YES, we the people do get to dictate the amount of money the CEO and other executives are making. SBA also dictates the pay structure and bonuses of small businesses who borrow money from them. Once it's paid back you can do what you want.

    Laying off employees should be the last resort option a company uses to cut costs. Hiring and training new employees is very costly to companies. I have to agree companies who scale back too far, become known for poor service and continue to lose momentum. Those that structure properly and keep people in mind, will thrive. We certainly need to soak up our excesses before we get back on track.

  •  
    7

    bthechangeyouseek

    02/07/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    I have to disagree with comments by tramky. The recession started long before Obama. We are likely to continue to see more layoffs because of the business practices that were employed during the last 8 years, less regulation, no accountability, and creative business practices that skirt traditional accounting practices. When a company chooses to use tax payer dollars over closing their business, then YES, we the people, DO get to dictate the amount of money the CEO and other executives are making. SBA also dictates the pay structure and bonuses of small businesses who borrow money from them as do other banks depending on the loans. Once the borrowed funds are paid back, then take whatever you want. Those who run companies into the ground and then take their pay too should be under criminal investigation.

    Laying off employees should be the last resort option a company uses to cut costs. Hiring and training new employees is very costly to companies. I have to agree companies who scale back too far, become known for poor service and continue to lose momentum. Those that structure properly and keep people in mind, will thrive. We certainly need to soak up our excesses before we get back on track.

  •  
    8

    Amy T

    02/10/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    Employee layoffs do present an opportunity for companies to motivate survivor employees with incentive awards. Employees and employers are realizing they each have a goal or mission in common, whether it be remaining profitable and successful in the marketplace or having a successful and significant career. The recession presents a unique opportunity to take advantage of this feeling of shared destiny/responsibility. This collaboration is not only beneficial but can help to foster a winning corporate culture amid the 2009 recession and beyond. To read my article on the topic please visit http://www.awardsnetwork.com/blog/2008/12/retaining-motivating-survivor.html.

  •  
    9

    mhannigan

    05/12/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    Although I respect your analysis, I have to respectfully disagree with the majority of it. These are all unarguably negative aspects of mass layoffs, and they do add up to sizeable losses for organizations. In fact, I am certain that in some cases the losses DO out weigh the gains. However, the fact is that the CEOs of these major companies have many people around them crunching the numbers and taking in to consideration all of the opportunity costs that are associated with them.
    These decisions are not brought to a realization without weeks and months of consideration and input from analyst with every point of view imaginable. We can not assume that the dozen of us on this blog are the only people that have thought of these negative side effects. Companies know about these effects, they analyze them, they interpret their analyses and more often than not they still decide to make lay offs. It is because after all the numbers are crunched and all the perspectives are looked at it is unquestionably more cost effective to let go of work force than try to operate in a top heavy fashion. Nothing more nothing less. Just less popular.

  •  
    10

    ErikSherman

    05/12/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Layoffs Raise Many Problems for Tech Companies

    >> However, the fact is that the CEOs of these major companies have many people around them crunching the numbers and taking in to consideration all of the opportunity costs that are associated with them. These decisions are not brought to a realization without weeks and months of consideration and input from analyst with every point of view imaginable. <<

    I will have to disagree with you. I've seen layoffs happen from the inside and from the outside. Many companies do not care about the opportunity costs - they're trying to get a bump in stock price as a shareholder reaction to "saving money." In fact, many companies, possibly more than even I'd like to consider, are often naive in their business analyses. Look at something that is relatively more simple than this type of decision: supply chain management. That should be something where managers have most of the data they need. And yet, as I understand from consultants in this area, companies will decide ahead of time the changes they need in a supply chain before doing an analysis without presumption to see if their suppositions are correct. Or look at how many companies spend money on markeing, without being able to model the connection between the marketing activities and the goals the businesses have.

    And, again, this isn't just my view of the world. The Bain studies, and others I've heard of, are pretty convincing. And the lack of unbiased analysis seems to run rampant in many other decisions that companies make.

    Not that all companies are foolish, and not that there is never a reason for layoffs. In some cases, it may be all a company can do to survive, but in that case you then have to ask how the corporation built a work force that was so out of scale with what it was doing. Unfortunately, as managers are people, they often make decisions the same way virtually all of us do: emotionally, whether we realize it or not.

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